Denver Broncos Playoff Chances: Tracking the Broncos Playoff Picture

What Are the Denver Broncos Playoff Chances?

Here is a quick look at the Broncos' chances to make the playoffs along with several other postseason betting markets. The percentages below come from converting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook Colorado into an implied probability.

Thanks to back-to-back wins, the Broncos' Super Bowl odds and playoff chances have improved compared to last week. Looking at the betting markets, Denver is positioned very well for the postseason but isn't being viewed as a legitimate contender for the Lombardi.

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Can the Broncos Make the Playoffs?

Yes, Denver can make the playoffs. Currently, the Broncos playoff chances are 40%, which is up from 35.4% last week. The team's playoff chances come from converting their betting odds of +152 to an implied probability. Compared to the rest of the AFC, there are seven teams with shorter playoff chances.

Are the Broncos Out of the Playoffs?

No, the Broncos are not out of playoffs. In fact, if the playoffs were to start today, Denver would be the five seed in the AFC playoffs. There's still a lot of football to be played, but Denver has kept themselves in the conversation despite starting 0-2.

Broncos Odds: Broncos Schedule 2024 and Game Lines

Here is the weekly schedule along with the Broncos game odds from DraftKings. The odds you see beyond this week were from early lines posted during the offseason.

Compared to when the odds for the Broncos' Week 9 matchup against the Ravens were released, the spread has dropped from 10.5 points to 9. Despite going 5-1 in their last six games, the Broncos are still heavy road underdogs going up against a Baltimore team that just lost to the lowly Cleveland Browns.

Denver Broncos Playoff Chances: Key Updates October 2024

Below are the most notable transactions and personnel news impacting the Broncos' playoff odds.

• 📆 October 27: Denver takes care of business against the Panthers, winning 28-14 at home.
• 📆 October 17: The Broncos take advantage of their national spotlight and thump the Saints 33-10. Javonte Williams and Bo Nix combine for 163 rushing yards with Williams finding the endzone twice.
• 📆 October 13: Denver loses its first game since Week 2, 23-16 to the Chargers.
• 📆 October 6: After falling behind 10-0, Denver rallies back to beat the Raiders 34-18.
• 📆 September 29: The Broncos' defense comes up big once again, helping defeat the Jets 10-9.
• 📆 September 22: Denver gets its first win of the season, beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26-7. 
• 📆 September 21: Starting LB Baron Browning Jr. is placed on IR with a foot injury, sidelining him for at least 4 weeks.
• 📆 September 18: Starting tackle Mike McGlinchey heads to IR, creating a huge hit for their offensive line and offense in general.
• 📆 September 15: The Broncos drop another game, this time to the Steelers, 13-6.
• 📆 September 8: Denver loses 26-20 to the Seattle Seahawks to open the NFL season. 
• 📆 September 4: Corner Pat Surtain II signs a massive 4-year, $96 million contract extension.
• 📆 August 27: Denver makes its roster cuts, notably letting go of WR Tim Patrick and RB Samaje Perine.
• 📆 August 21: Broncos Head Coach Sean Payton names Bo Nix as the starting quarterback.

I will update this portion regularly with key personnel moves, Broncos injury report updates, and more that could impact the Broncos' playoff chances, so make sure to bookmark this page to stay up to date with the latest news.

Key Contributors Toward Broncos Playoff Chances

How far this team can go and how successful the season is will ultimately come down to head coach Sean Payton and rookie quarterback Bo Nix. Payton was brought in for his offensive acumen and the team selected Nix with their first-round draft pick this year. Though the offense has looked better over the past few weeks, they still rank toward the bottom of the league in most metrics. The Broncos offense is averaging the ninth-fewest yards per play, the tenth-fewest first downs, the fifth-most turnovers, and is middle of the pack in points. Running back Javonte Williams had a massive game against the Saints but came back down to Earth against Carolina. Nix has started playing better over his past several games and now has multiple passing touchdowns in three of his last four. Courtland Sutton finally had a massive game in Week 8 but has been underwhelming otherwise.

Defensively, the release of Justin Simmons creates a massive void both on and off the field. Levi Wallace brings experience, but the headline name is obviously Patrick Surtain II. How well the defense performs as a whole will come down to how disruptive the front seven can be. The addition of John Franklin-Myers will certainly help in stopping the run, while the addition of Cody Barton and the return of Nik Bonitto will help round out the linebackers. The Broncos' defense has been the main bright spot here and has shut down the Bucs and Jets in back-to-back weeks.

Where Can I Bet on the Denver Broncos to Make the Playoffs?

Broncos fans in Colorado can bet on Denver to make the playoffs at DraftKings Colorado and other Colorado sports betting apps. You may find different markets at different sportsbooks, allowing you to find the perfect bet to place.

• BetMGM Colorado 
• Caesars Colorado
• bet365 Colorado

Broncos Playoff Picture

If the Broncos are to make a push for the playoffs this year, it will almost certainly come from a wild card spot in the AFC. Crazier things have happened, but it's difficult to see a scenario where the Chiefs don't win the AFC West, which would guarantee Denver a spot if they were able to pull off that monstrous upset. 

For right now, the Broncos need to keep piling up wins if they want to stay in the discussion for the playoffs. Sitting at 5-3, Denver will head into a rough three-game stretch against the Ravens, Chiefs, and Falcons, with the first two being road games.

Broncos Playoff Standings

Here's a look at where the Broncos currently stand in the AFC playoff standings:

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Broncos Playoff Scenarios

As the season unfolds, I'll keep this section up to date with the latest scenarios and ways the Broncos can make the playoffs. For now, Denver just needs to win as many games as possible and take advantage of an AFC Conference that lacks a true standout team. Yes, the Chiefs are undefeated but they have questions surrounding their team thanks to a string of injuries to some of their top players. To this point of the season, there has yet to be a team to step forward and look demonstrably better than the rest.

If Bo Nix can continue to develop and make strides as the season unfolds, Denver will squarely be in the AFC Wild Card discussion. The defense has been one of the best units in the league and if the offense can step up, they could be a tough out.

Where Do the Broncos Rank in the AFC Playoff Standings?

If the playoffs were to start today, the Broncos would be the last team in as the final AFC Wild Card team and number 7 seed. Thanks to the Arizona Cardinals beating the Chargers, Denver has jumped ahead of them in the AFC playoff standings.

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Broncos Postseason Outlook and Predictions

Given the amount of turnover at key positions last offseason, combined with the lack of true game-changing talent across the board, it's really hard to see Denver making a legitimate playoff push this season. Oddsmakers see it the same way, as the Broncos have some of the longest odds across every major futures market currently available. This is set up to be more of a rebuilding year than one in which the Broncos are truly competing for the postseason.

If Bo Nix can prove himself as the quarterback of the future, however, that would go a long way in Denver's outlook beyond the 2024 season. 

While you're here, check out our Broncos fantasy football team names page. 

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Author

Blake Weishaar

@BlakeWeishaar

Blake Weishaar is a content strategist and fact-checker at BetColorado.com. He has a wealth of knowledge within the gambling industry dating back to 2014 and has been at the forefront of the sports betting boom since PASPA was repealed in 2018. He plans to harness that expertise in providing the most up-to-date and accurate information regarding Colorado sports betting market.