Denver Broncos Playoff Chances: Tracking the Broncos Playoff Odds

Fact Checked by Wes Roesch
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Bo Nix will play an important part in the Broncos chances to make the playoffs

Key Takeaways:

  • πŸ“Š The Broncos have a 22.7% chance of beating the Bills according to odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.
  • πŸ‘Ž Denver is currently an 8.5-point underdog for their Wild Card matchup vs Buffalo.
  • πŸ“‰ The Broncos are 2-7 as underdogs this year.

With the Broncos dominant win over Kansas City in Week 18, Denver officially locked up a playoff spot. I'll be tracking and updating the Broncos playoff odds through the end of the year with betting markets from the most popular Colorado sportsbooks.

What Are the Denver Broncos Playoff Chances?

Here is a quick look at the Broncos' chances to make the playoffs along with several related betting markets. The percentages below come from converting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook Colorado into an implied probability.

πŸ’ͺ Broncos Playoff ChancesClinched
πŸ† Broncos Chances to Win Super Bowl LIX1.5% (+6500)
πŸ‘‘ Broncos Chances to Win AFC3.9% (+2500)
πŸ”₯ Broncos Chances to Win AFC WestNot Available
🏈  Broncos Regular Season Win TotalO/U 10.5
βœ… Odds Last Verified by ExpertJanuary 9, 2025

After winning six of their last 10 games, the Broncos' Super Bowl odds and playoff chances have seen a solid improvement over the last few weeks. Despite picking up another loss in Week 17, the Broncos are still extremely strong playoff contenders.

Is Denver in the Playoffs?

Yes, the Broncos clinched a playoff spot with their Week 18 win over the Chiefs. This will be the first playoff appearance for Denver since the 2015 season when they won the Super Bowl.

Will the Broncos Make the Playoffs?

The Broncos have clinched a playoff berth and are in the postseason.

Are the Broncos Out of the Playoffs?

No, the Broncos are not out of playoffs. Denver has their first postseason game against the Bills this weekend.

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Broncos Playoff Picture

If the Broncos are to make a push for the playoffs this year, it will have to come through a wild card spot after the Chiefs locked up the AFC West in Week 14. 

Although Denver has lost back-to-back games and other teams have made up ground because of it, the Broncos still control their own destiny in Week 18. The Chiefs have already announced they'll be resting key starters this weekend which is why we see Denver as heavy favorites in the finale.

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Broncos Playoff Scenarios: How Can the Broncos Clinch a Playoff Spot?

Denver can lock up the final AFC playoff spot by beating the Chiefs this weekend. A win for Denver guarantees a playoff berth regardless of what happens with the Bengals and Dolphins. If the Broncos were to lose to Kansas City's backups this Sunday, they could still get in if Cincy and Miami were to both lose or tie. 

So to summarize:

  • Win vs KC and in
  • Miami loss/tie vs NYJ AND Cincinnati loss/tie vs PGH

The Bengals play Saturday while Denver and Miami both have their games in the 4:00 window on Sunday.

Broncos Playoff Standings

Here's a look at where the Broncos currently are in the AFC playoff standings:

No. 1 SeedChiefs
No. 2 SeedBills
No. 3 SeedRavens
No. 4 SeedTexans
No. 5 SeedSteelers
 No. 6 SeedChargers
⭐  No. 7 SeedBroncos

Denver's loss to Cincinnati in Week 17 kept the Bengals' hopes alive while it pushed back Denver's ability to clinch a spot. 

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2024 Broncos Schedule and Game Odds

Here is the weekly schedule along with the Broncos game odds from DraftKings. The odds you see beyond this week were from early lines posted during the offseason.

GameOpponentBroncos Spread
πŸ“† Week 1, September 8, 2:05 p.m. MTat Seattle Seahawks+6
πŸ“† Week 2, September 15, 2:25 p.m. MTvs Pittsburgh Steelers+2.5
πŸ“† Week 3, September 22, 11:00 a.m. MTat Tampa Bay Buccaneers+7
πŸ“† Week 4, September 29, 11:00 a.m. MTat New York Jets+7
πŸ“† Week 5, October 6, 2:05 p.m. MTvs Las Vegas Raiders-3
πŸ“† Week 6, October 13, 2:05 p.m. MTvs Los Angeles Chargers+3
πŸ“† Week 7, October 17, 6:15 p.m. MTat New Orleans Saints (TNF)-2
πŸ“† Week 8, October 27, 2:25 p.m. MTvs Carolina Panthers-9
πŸ“† Week 9, November 3, 11:00 a.m. MTat Baltimore Ravens+9
πŸ“† Week 10, November 10, 11:00 a.m. MTat Kansas City Chiefs+7.5
πŸ“† Week 11, November 17, 2:05 p.m. MTvs Atlanta Falcons-2
πŸ“† Week 12, November 24, 2:05 p.m. MTat Las Vegas Raiders-5.5
πŸ“† Week 13, December 2, 6:15 p.m. MTvs Cleveland Browns (MNF)-5.5
πŸ“† Week 14BYE WEEK 
πŸ“† Week 15, December 15, 2:25 p.m. MTvs Indianapolis Colts-4
πŸ“† Week 16, December 19, 2:05 p.m. MTat Los Angeles Chargers+2.5
πŸ“† Week 17, December 28, 2:30 p.m. MTat Cincinnati Bengals+3
πŸ“† Week 18, January 5, 2:30 p.m. MTvs Kansas City Chiefs-10.5
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Denver Broncos Playoff Chances: Key Updates January 2025

Below are the most notable transactions and personnel news impacting the Broncos' playoff odds.

  • πŸ“† December 28: Denver's defense struggles to stop Cincinnati's passing attack and lose in overtime, 30-24.
  • πŸ“† December 23: With all three teams behind the Broncos in the AFC playoff race picking up wins this weekend, Denver has to win one of their final two games to lock up a playoff spot.
  • πŸ“† December 19: The Broncos can't hold onto a 21-13 halftime lead over the Chargers and ultimately fall 34-27. 
  • πŸ“† December 15: Nik Bonnito comes up big again with another defensive score as the Broncos beat the Colts 31-13.
  • πŸ“† December 10: Stand-out OL Garret Bolles is signed to a four-year extension.
  • πŸ“† December 3: WR Josh Reynolds is waived.
  • πŸ“† December 2: The Broncos defense takes two interceptions back for scores against the Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football, winning 41-32.  
  • πŸ“† November 24: After trailing at halftime, Denver outscores Las Vegas 20-6 in the second half to beat the Raiders.
  • πŸ“† November 17: The Broncos get back to the win column with a dominant 38-6 win over Atlanta.
  • πŸ“† November 13: WR Josh Reynolds is designated to return from IR.
  • πŸ“† November 10: Thanks to a blocked field goal, the Broncos fall short of a massive win over the Chiefs, 16-14.
  • πŸ“† November 9: Center Luke Wattenberg is activated from IR.
  • πŸ“† November 3: The Broncos come back down to earth with a 41-10 beating at the hands of the Ravens.
  • πŸ“† October 27: Denver takes care of business against the Panthers, winning 28-14 at home.
  • πŸ“† October 17: The Broncos take advantage of their national spotlight and thump the Saints 33-10. Javonte Williams and Bo Nix combine for 163 rushing yards with Williams finding the endzone twice.
  • πŸ“† October 13: Denver loses its first game since Week 2, 23-16 to the Chargers.
  • πŸ“† October 6: After falling behind 10-0, Denver rallies back to beat the Raiders 34-18.
  • πŸ“† September 29: The Broncos' defense comes up big once again, helping defeat the Jets 10-9.
  • πŸ“† September 22: Denver gets its first win of the season, beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26-7. 
  • πŸ“† September 18: Starting tackle Mike McGlinchey heads to IR, creating a huge hit for their offensive line and offense in general.
  • πŸ“† September 15: The Broncos drop another game, this time to the Steelers, 13-6.
  • πŸ“† September 8: Denver loses 26-20 to the Seattle Seahawks to open the NFL season. 

I will update this portion regularly with key personnel moves, Broncos injury report updates, and more that could impact the Broncos' playoff chances, so make sure to bookmark this page to stay up to date with the latest news.

Key Contributors Toward Broncos Playoff Chances

How far this team can go and how successful the season is will ultimately come down to head coach Sean Payton and rookie quarterback Bo Nix. Payton was brought in for his offensive acumen and the team selected Nix with their first-round draft pick this year. Though the offense has looked better over the past few weeks, there are still questions surrounding just how good they can actually be. The offense hasn't exactly gone up against a murderer's row of defenses and has still posted the 11th-lowest yards per play mark in the league. 

On the plus side, wide receiver Courtland Sutton has finally been stepping up as the team's top receiving threat. Sutton has at least 70 receiving yards in six straight games with four of those being 97+ yard performances. For the offense to take its next step, however, they need somebody to step up alongside Sutton. There have been flashes here and there from different players, but nothing consistent.

Denver could also use a consistent rushing attack to take some of the pressure off Nix, but that's not something that will change this season. It seems to be a different running back leading the team every week but even then that "hot hand" hasn't amounted to much. Javonte Williams leads the way for the team with a measly 34.3 yards per game.

Luckily for Denver, the Broncos' defense has been one of the better units all season long, putting the offense in advantageous situations. Patrick Surtain II has continued his run of being one of the best corners in all of football, helping to bring stability to an otherwise lackluster unit. Nik Bonnito is currently tied for the second-most sacks in the NFL, Jonathan Franklin-Myers has been a huge help on the defensive line, and both Nik Bonnito and Cody Barton have stepped up at linebacker with Alex Singleton on IR.

Where Can I Bet on the Denver Broncos to Make the Playoffs?

Broncos fans in Colorado can bet on Denver to make the playoffs at DraftKings Colorado and other Colorado sports betting apps. You may find different markets at different sportsbooks, allowing you to find the perfect bet to place.

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Broncos Postseason Outlook and Predictions

Given the amount of turnover at key positions last offseason, combined with the lack of true game-changing talent across the board, it's difficult to see Denver making a legitimate playoff push this season. The Broncos have certainly been one of the surprise teams through the first half of the season, but that is more due to the low expectations heading into the season. The offense has had its glimpses of looking above average but has largely been below average across nearly every metric.

The defense has been the true star of this team and has been the main reason why the Broncos have done as well as they have. With the offense struggling the majority of weeks, however, it will be too much for the defense to overcome.

My prediction is the Broncos sneak in as a Wild Card team and lose in the first round of the playoffs.

While you're here, check out our Broncos fantasy football team names page. 


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Blake Weishaar

Blake Weishaar is a content strategist and fact-checker at BetColorado.com. He has a wealth of knowledge within the gambling industry dating back to 2014 and has been at the forefront of the sports betting boom since PASPA was repealed in 2018. He plans to harness that expertise in providing the most up-to-date and accurate information regarding Colorado sports betting market.

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