What Are the Denver Broncos Playoff Chances?
Here is a quick look at the Broncos' chances to make the playoffs along with several related betting markets. The percentages below come from converting odds from DraftKings Sportsbook Colorado into an implied probability.
πͺ Broncos Playoff Chances | 86.4% (-550) |
π Broncos Chances to Win Super Bowl LIX | 2.2% (+4500) |
π Broncos Chances to Win AFC | 5.3% (+1800) |
π₯ Broncos Chances to Win AFC West | Not Available |
π Broncos Win Total | O/U 10.5 |
β Odds Last Verified by Expert | December 20, 2024 |
After winning six of their last nine games, the Broncos' Super Bowl odds and playoff chances have seen a solid improvement over the last few weeks. Despite losing against the Chargers in Week 16, the Broncos are still extremely strong playoff contenders.
Can the Broncos Make the Playoffs?
Yes, Denver can make the playoffs. Currently, the Broncos playoff chances are 84.6%, which is down slightly from 90.9% last week. This drop was a direct result of their divisional loss to LAC.
Compared to the rest of the AFC, there are just two teams with shorter playoff odds (not including the teams that have already clinched).
Will the Broncos Make the Playoffs?
The Broncos should make the playoffs this season barring a complete collapse down the stretch. Looking at other analytics models, Denver has a 90%+ chance to make the playoffs across all of them.
Denver would need to lose their remaining two games and have other scenarios go sideways for the team to miss the playoffs this season.
Are the Broncos Out of the Playoffs?
No, the Broncos are not out of playoffs. In fact, if the playoffs were to start today, Denver would be the seven seed in the AFC playoffs. Despite starting the year 0-2, the Broncos have battled to an impressive 9-6 record and have put themselves squarely in the playoff discussion.
Broncos Playoff Picture
If the Broncos are to make a push for the playoffs this year, it will have to come through a wild card spot after the Chiefs locked up the AFC West in Week 14.
The Broncos' rest of season schedule is more difficult than other teams making a playoff push, but Denver has built a three-game lead on the teams lower in the standings and holds important tiebreakers over some as well. The Broncos would have to essentially lose their three remaining games to put themselves at risk of not making the playoffs. While that is possible with the Chargers, Bengals, and Chiefs on deck, it would also take other teams winning out to bump Denver out of the playoff picture.
Broncos Playoff Standings
Here's a look at where the Broncos currently are in the AFC playoff standings:
No. 1 Seed | Chiefs |
No. 2 Seed | Bills |
No. 3 Seed | Steelers |
No. 4 Seed | Texans |
No. 5 Seed | Ravens |
β No. 6 Seed | Chargers |
β No. 7 Seed | Broncos |
The loss to Los Angeles on TNF dropped Denver one spot in the AFC playoff standings, but the Broncos still have a strong hold on the final AFC wild card spot.
Broncos Playoff Scenarios: How Can Denver Make the Playoffs?
Denver can clinch a playoff spot by winning next week against Cincinnati. Despite the disappointing loss on Thursday night, Denver is still in the driver's seat for one of the final Wild Card spots in the AFC.
Heading into Week 16, there are just six remaining AFC teams with the possibility of making the playoffs: Baltimore, Denver, Los Angeles, Indianapolis, Cincinnati, and Miami. Other than the Chargers, all five of the other teams have records of 6-8. The final few weeks will be incredibly entertaining to follow and Denver can cement their playoff spot with wins over the Chargers and Bengals the next two weeks.
2024 Broncos Schedule and Game Odds
Here is the weekly schedule along with the Broncos game odds from DraftKings. The odds you see beyond this week were from early lines posted during the offseason.
Game | Opponent | Broncos Spread |
π Week 1, September 8, 2:05 p.m. MT | at Seattle Seahawks | +6 |
π Week 2, September 15, 2:25 p.m. MT | vs Pittsburgh Steelers | +2.5 |
π Week 3, September 22, 11:00 a.m. MT | at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +7 |
π Week 4, September 29, 11:00 a.m. MT | at New York Jets | +7 |
π Week 5, October 6, 2:05 p.m. MT | vs Las Vegas Raiders | -3 |
π Week 6, October 13, 2:05 p.m. MT | vs Los Angeles Chargers | +3 |
π Week 7, October 17, 6:15 p.m. MT | at New Orleans Saints (TNF) | -2 |
π Week 8, October 27, 2:25 p.m. MT | vs Carolina Panthers | -9 |
π Week 9, November 3, 11:00 a.m. MT | at Baltimore Ravens | +9 |
π Week 10, November 10, 11:00 a.m. MT | at Kansas City Chiefs | +7.5 |
π Week 11, November 17, 2:05 p.m. MT | vs Atlanta Falcons | -2 |
π Week 12, November 24, 2:05 p.m. MT | at Las Vegas Raiders | -5.5 |
π Week 13, December 2, 6:15 p.m. MT | vs Cleveland Browns (MNF) | -5.5 |
π Week 14 | BYE WEEK | |
π Week 15, December 15, 2:25 p.m. MT | vs Indianapolis Colts | -4 |
π Week 16, December 22, 2:05 p.m. MT | at Los Angeles Chargers | +2.5 |
π Week 17, TBD | at Cincinnati Bengals | +8 |
π Week 18, TBD | vs Kansas City Chiefs | +4 |
Denver Broncos Playoff Chances: Key Updates December 2024
Below are the most notable transactions and personnel news impacting the Broncos' playoff odds.
- π December 15: Nik Bonnito comes up big again with another defensive score as the Broncos beat the Colts 31-13.
- π December 10: Stand-out OL Garret Bolles is signed to a four-year extension.
- π December 3: WR Josh Reynolds is waived.
- π December 2: The Broncos defense takes two interceptions back for scores against the Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football, winning 41-32.
- π November 24: After trailing at halftime, Denver outscores Las Vegas 20-6 in the second half to beat the Raiders.
- π November 17: The Broncos get back to the win column with a dominant 38-6 win over Atlanta.
- π November 13: WR Josh Reynolds is designated to return from IR.
- π November 10: Thanks to a blocked field goal, the Broncos fall short of a massive win over the Chiefs, 16-14.
- π November 9: Center Luke Wattenberg is activated from IR.
- π November 3: The Broncos come back down to earth with a 41-10 beating at the hands of the Ravens.
- π October 27: Denver takes care of business against the Panthers, winning 28-14 at home.
- π October 17: The Broncos take advantage of their national spotlight and thump the Saints 33-10. Javonte Williams and Bo Nix combine for 163 rushing yards with Williams finding the endzone twice.
- π October 13: Denver loses its first game since Week 2, 23-16 to the Chargers.
- π October 6: After falling behind 10-0, Denver rallies back to beat the Raiders 34-18.
- π September 29: The Broncos' defense comes up big once again, helping defeat the Jets 10-9.
- π September 22: Denver gets its first win of the season, beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26-7.
- π September 18: Starting tackle Mike McGlinchey heads to IR, creating a huge hit for their offensive line and offense in general.
- π September 15: The Broncos drop another game, this time to the Steelers, 13-6.
- π September 8: Denver loses 26-20 to the Seattle Seahawks to open the NFL season.
I will update this portion regularly with key personnel moves, Broncos injury report updates, and more that could impact the Broncos' playoff chances, so make sure to bookmark this page to stay up to date with the latest news.
Key Contributors Toward Broncos Playoff Chances
How far this team can go and how successful the season is will ultimately come down to head coach Sean Payton and rookie quarterback Bo Nix. Payton was brought in for his offensive acumen and the team selected Nix with their first-round draft pick this year. Though the offense has looked better over the past few weeks, there are still questions surrounding just how good they can actually be. The offense hasn't exactly gone up against a murderer's row of defenses and has still posted the 11th-lowest yards per play mark in the league.
On the plus side, wide receiver Courtland Sutton has finally been stepping up as the team's top receiving threat. Sutton has at least 70 receiving yards in six straight games with four of those being 97+ yard performances. For the offense to take its next step, however, they need somebody to step up alongside Sutton. There have been flashes here and there from different players, but nothing consistent.
Denver could also use a consistent rushing attack to take some of the pressure off Nix, but that's not something that will change this season. It seems to be a different running back leading the team every week but even then that "hot hand" hasn't amounted to much. Javonte Williams leads the way for the team with a measly 34.3 yards per game.
Luckily for Denver, the Broncos' defense has been one of the better units all season long, putting the offense in advantageous situations. Patrick Surtain II has continued his run of being one of the best corners in all of football, helping to bring stability to an otherwise lackluster unit. Nik Bonnito is currently tied for the second-most sacks in the NFL, Jonathan Franklin-Myers has been a huge help on the defensive line, and both Nik Bonnito and Cody Barton have stepped up at linebacker with Alex Singleton on IR.
Where Can I Bet on the Denver Broncos to Make the Playoffs?
Broncos fans in Colorado can bet on Denver to make the playoffs at DraftKings Colorado and other Colorado sports betting apps. You may find different markets at different sportsbooks, allowing you to find the perfect bet to place.
Broncos Postseason Outlook and Predictions
Given the amount of turnover at key positions last offseason, combined with the lack of true game-changing talent across the board, it's difficult to see Denver making a legitimate playoff push this season. The Broncos have certainly been one of the surprise teams through the first half of the season, but that is more due to the low expectations heading into the season. The offense has had its glimpses of looking above average but has largely been below average across nearly every metric.
The defense has been the true star of this team and has been the main reason why the Broncos have done as well as they have. With the offense struggling the majority of weeks, however, it will be too much for the defense to overcome.
My prediction is the Broncos sneak in as a Wild Card team and lose in the first round of the playoffs.
While you're here, check out our Broncos fantasy football team names page.
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Denver Broncos Playoffs FAQs
The Denver Broncos have an 84.6% chance to make the playoffs this year. This percentage comes via implied probability from converting their betting odds of -550 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
No, the Broncos aren't out of the playoffs. With just two regular season games remaining, Denver will make the playoffs as long as they win one of those games.
Yes, the Broncos have a great chance to make the playoffs. Denver's playoff chances have seen major improvement compared to early in the year and now have an 84.6% chance to make the playoffs. If the postseason were to start today, the Broncos would be in as the seventh seed in the AFC playoff race.
Author
Blake Weishaar is a content strategist and fact-checker at BetColorado.com. He has a wealth of knowledge within the gambling industry dating back to 2014 and has been at the forefront of the sports betting boom since PASPA was repealed in 2018. He plans to harness that expertise in providing the most up-to-date and accurate information regarding Colorado sports betting market.